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Epidemiology

Hong Kong

Hong Kong had an overall decrease in the notification rate of TB in the past 40-50 years. Peak rates of the 1950's with 697.2 per 100,000 population in 1952 steadily declined to about 100 per 100,000 in the mid 1990's.

The overall epidemiological situation of tuberculosis in Hong Kong during the recent years could be summarized as follows:

  • slowdown in the rate of decline of incidence in recent years
  • high incidence in the population

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Hong Kong's tuberculosis incidence figures remain higher than some neighbouring modern countries such as Japan and Singapore.

In the year 2002 the tuberculosis notification rates per 100,000 population were:

Hong Kong
  95/100,000  
Singapore
  36/100,000  
Japan
  26/100,000  

In contrast the rates in Western countries are generally less than 10 per 100,000:

Australia
  5/100,000 (2002)
U.S.A.
  5/100,000 (2004)

The following graph shows notification rates in the Western Pacific Region. (WHO)

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The factors leading to the above trends of tuberculosis in Hong Kong are probably multifactorial and include:

  • Ageing of the population. The above trends could be largely attributable to continuing high rates of tuberculosis in the elderly and to the increase of the proportion of the elderly in the population. The ageing population is an important factor because incidence is higher in older people, either because of reactivation of old infection or a new infection.
  • Other demographic and environmental changes such as high mobility of the population, immigration from countries with high prevalence, high density of the population.
  • Other demographic and environmental changes such as high mobility of the population with frequent travel into mainland China and high density of the population.
  • Changes in diagnostic practice and case finding activities
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